From the monthly archives:

March 2007

More fuel to the fire…

by Tim on March 29, 2007

in Strategy

As a follow-up to Tuesday’s post, check this out.

The most telling paragraph for my tastes: “Unfortunately, most media conglomerates view these flurries of support for a failed pilot as a threat, not as a sign of fan enthusiasm. “What’s really amazing is that TV had the perfect test case, seeing the music business practically destroying itself and totally alienating their core fans for the past six or so years — and they look at that and say, ‘Yeah, that’s the way to go,’ ” says John Rogers…”

BTW, Michael Arrington at TechCrunch points out Sell-A-Band, which is trying, and potentially succeeding in changing the music industry in ways comparable to the television creators above. Very, very cool.

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Steve Rubel points to a recent AdAge article describing where marketers are putting their money these days. Established players such as email and search still dominate, though social media is gaining in popularity. Much-buzzed newbies mobile and gaming don’t get near as much play. I think that’s a little short-sighted. Why aren’t more folks looking at these platforms? Wouldn’t you benefit from looking at things like mobile, which has tremendous adoption among consumers and limited competition for mindshare? Or is it that companies like Google and DoubleClick – itself on the market – have yet to offer robust platforms to marketers?

What do you think?

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I think not.

Robert Young at NewTeeVee has an interesting post discussing why the News Corp./NBC joint venture is going to put GooTube on the ropes. Robert is not, alas, the late star of Marcus Welby and Father Knows Best, but the irony of a Robert Young writing about the future of TV is too rich to ignore. And while he makes some interesting points – notably hinting at the lack of a clear technology winner today in video search – Robert’s basic premise doesn’t ring true for me or for others. Among the better critiques comes from AlexC, who points out a logical flaw related to Robert’s view of copyright issues. Alex’s own argument also contains a flaw as I see it, in that he assumes reposting others’ material always comprises fair use. While I’m no lawyer, plenty of case law and injunctions seem to indicate the opposite. Still, his initial point regarding equal copyright protection for text and video makes a fair bit of sense to me.

An even larger flaw exists in Robert’s piece. He assumes that NewsBC – or whatever they plan to call it – will offer its users similar utility to that of YouTube. I’m not convinced. Big Media has struggled with digital distribution since the concept started. Their models, designed to monetize every play and enforce scarcity of their intellectual property, don’t favor consumers.

By contrast, YouTube succeeds for at least two reasons. First, as Fred Wilson points out, Big Media continually appears to limit the social/viral aspects of online video so integral to YouTube’s popularity. Second, folks use YouTube because it provides a simpler alternative (i.e., less expensive), than its competitors. BitTorrent, GigaTribe and their P2P, um, peers also provide a way for individuals to share files that they think would appeal to their friends. They’re just too complicated given the current alternatives. The minute Murdoch and Co. – along with legal challenges to YouTube – make it sufficiently hard for consumers to access to the media they care about is the minute P2P comes back with a vengeance. If Robert’s arguments held water, right now Apple would have lost its market leadership for downloadable music to any one of iTunes’ industry-backed competitors. That’s not to say Big Media can’t learn from its mistakes. But history isn’t on its side.

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Keep an eye on Tim Ferriss…

March 27, 2007 Strategy

Tim Ferriss – clearly the illegitimate love child of David Allen and Hermione Grainger – may be on to something. Without stealing too much of his thunder, he argues following your heart and your brain is the best approach in life, resulting in radical ideas – by today’s standards – such as only checking email [...]

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Unacceptable behavior…

March 26, 2007 Personal

One of the fundamental beliefs among bloggers is that we’re all part of a community, dedicated to an open, frank dialogue. Unfortunately, sometimes that dialogue takes an ugly turn. Kathy Sierra – a technologist and widely read blogger – started attracting death threats and misogynist comments on her blog as well as others. As an [...]

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Michael Arrington and the future of online advertising…

March 26, 2007 Marketing

Click on this picture and check out the 125×125 button in the lower right hand corner. Now take a look at the rest of the ad units on Arrington’s page. This is the future of advertising? Really? I thought we could do better than that.

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