From the monthly archives:

February 2011

I don’t play a venture capitalist in the real world or on TV, but I’m intensely curious about what’s going on in that market. Having been burned once or twice over the last 20 years by companies folding their tents and disappearing the middle of the night, I like to know where things are headed. Which is why I’m so drawn to the big theme that’s going around that social media’s bubble soon will burst. Some folks are even advising you how you can survive the social crash—i.e., an inevitability.

Of course, they’re talking about financials—not to suggest those aren’t important. But they’re important to you only if you’re an investor.

For most marketers, the question instead is: What happens to my friends, fans and followers if one of my social traffic generators goes belly up?

Hopefully, it won’t happen to you. But given the climbing street value of an ounce of prevention, here are a few tips to help you prepare:

  • Do you know which social services matter to your business? Start with this. Use your analytics and customer database to segment your traffic and revenues by source. Then give priority on the next steps to sources that are both high risk and high impact.
  • Still not sure which channel is working for you? Instead of blasting the same message to all social channels, launch targeted campaigns and evaluate the performance of each. Segmentation rules when it comes to prioritization, so it’s worth your time to answer these first two questions.
  • Focus on converting to customers. Using your priority list, launch an acquisition campaign to convert your friends, fans and followers to members of your email marketing list or membership programs. Hopefully you’re doing this already. But, if not, now’s a good time to start. Plus, adding these individuals into your regular customer systems will help you gauge the overall value of a given social media channel to your business.
  • Integrate, integrate, integrate. There’s nothing wrong with having a presence on as many social networks as are worth your time, but don’t isolate that content to just one channel. The more you can integrate that content into your own web presence, the more protection you’ll have against a crash.

This list is by no means comprehensive. In fact, I’d also recommend looking at our past “disaster recovery” tips for some additional ideas on how to prepare for a worst-case scenario. But, whether a social crash comes or not, follow these tips and you’re likely to improve your peace of mind and your bottom line.



Are you getting enough value out of your small business website? Want to make sure your business makes the most of the local, mobile, social web? thinks helps you understand how to grow your business via the web, every day. Get more than just news. Get understanding. Add thinks to your feed reader today.

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{ 2 comments }

  • @ryanbarr Oh, how I remember–and loathe–that feeling. Hang in there, Mr. Barr. in reply to ryanbarr #
  • @ryanbarr Ugh. One benefit of getting older: there's a memory I am happy to have lost. ;) in reply to ryanbarr #
  • Looks like another glorious day out here in the wilderness. Pity we're due for a "wintry mix" tomorrow. #
  • Thanks @TravelV for the #TT shoutout: @chuck_ksc @kiermatthews @ehasbrouck @philcaines @patmaas in reply to TravelV #
  • Just read: FT.com – Andrew Hill – Society and the right kind of capitalism http://t.co/pUATDW3 #
  • RT @jdgalarneau: US e-commerce sales totaled $165.4 billion in 2010, up 14.8% from $144.1 billion the year prior. http://t.co/NgD5UIC #
  • Simply awesome. I'm very happy for you both. RT @gradontripp @megfowler: New post: My bride http://t.co/i4sfZap #
  • Just finished my 7AM conference call and got some things scheduled that I needed to. My, but aren't I productive this early in the AM? #
  • RT @MikeMoran: Newest post on Biznology blog: "More Big Button Marketing" http://t.co/AcIkR15 #
  • You know what's weird about Duane Reade? No matter how many are on the block, the lines are still a mile long. #
  • Good dinner with great company last night. I really appreciate spending time with smart and engaging people. #
  • What a day. A long day, but a tremendously good day. #

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I suppose it’s no secret that, in addition to online marketing and e-commerce, I’m a fan of two things:

  1. Baseball
  2. Statistics

Of course, there are those who love baseball as much for its data as for its design, so I suppose the overlap isn’t entirely shocking. As Kevin Costner’s character, Billy Chapel, asserts in “For Love of the Game” during the film’s “meet cute”:

Jane Aubrey: Do you lose very much?
Billy Chapel: I lose. I’ve lost 134 times.
Jane Aubrey: You count them?
Billy Chapel: We count everything.

Admittedly, the movie is the weakest entry in Costner’s baseball trilogy, but still, it’s a great line.

I know, you’re saying, what exactly does this have to do with marketing? Or Kevin Hillstrom’s book, “Online Marketing Simulations: The Definitive Methodology For Predicting The Future Of Your Online Business”. Well, a lot, actually.

You see, just like Billy Chapel’s baseball fanatics, Hillstrom counts everything. But even better, he pulls those things apart to see which data matters to your business. And best of all, he uses this book to tell you how to do the same thing for your business.

Now, I’m not going to sugar coat this. “Online Marketing Simulations” is not light reading before bedtime. Nope. You’re going to want to read this one sitting upright at your desk, preferably with a spreadsheet and as much business data as you can get your hands on within easy reach. Hillstrom has packed this book with pages of formulas (and even more pages—in an appendix—of computer code) describing how to interpret your business’s information. But—and this is the key point—it’s all usable, in the real-world, today, to help you understand your business and focus on what drives your growth.

That’s not to say the book is boring. In fact, it’s fascinating. And it’s not a difficult read. It’s only challenging in the sense that you need to think as much as read your way through the text.

Hillstrom is a very good writer, as evidenced by his excellent blog. Like the flame-throwing Billy Chapel, Hillstrom is firing bullets in this book, dead on target and deadly to sloppy thinking. Don’t expect you’re going to spend much time laughing out loud during this read. Still, if you’re willing to put the lessons in the book to use, you might be laughing all the way to the bank.



Are you getting enough value out of your small business website? Want to make sure your business makes the most of the local, mobile, social web? thinks helps you understand how to grow your business via the web, every day. Get more than just news. Get understanding. Add thinks to your feed reader today.

Or subscribe via email.

And while you’re at it, don’t forget to follow Tim on Twitter.

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Do A/B Tests Worry You?

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Twitter Weekly Updates for 2011-02-20

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RT @Pistachio: Twitter App Store oneforty Refocuses On Helping Business Users Manage ‘Social’ http://awe.sm/5GQX2 (@techcrunch) # Thanks @3dcart @copy__girl for including me with the amazing @getelastic @zippycart @ducttape . Glad you enjoy the blog! in reply to 3dcart # @phillymac I'd go to SXSW with you, Philly. Oh. Wait. That doesn't solve your problem, does [...]

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6 Solutions for Social Commerce Success (Small Business E-commerce Link Digest – February 18, 2011)

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Social commerce is a hot topic these days. We’re on the scene with great stories from Linda Bustos and TechCrunch about Google, Facebook and other social commerce pioneers.

Read the full article →